Accurate diagnosis of apical hypertrophic cardiomyopathy using explainable advanced ECG analysis.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Typical electrocardiogram (ECG) features of apical hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (ApHCM) include tall R waves and deep or giant T-wave inversion in the precordial leads, but these features are not always present. The ECG is used as the gatekeeper to cardiac imaging for diagnosis. We tested whether explainable advanced ECG (A-ECG) could accurately diagnose ApHCM. METHODS: A-ECG analysis was performed on standard resting 12-lead ECGs in patients with ApHCM (n = 75 overt, n = 32 relative [<15mm hypertrophy]), a subgroup of which underwent cardiovascular magnetic resonance, n = 92), and comparator subjects (n = 2449), including healthy volunteers (n = 1672), patients with coronary artery disease (n = 372), left ventricular electrical remodelling (n = 108), ischemic (n = 114) or non-ischemic cardiomyopathy (n = 57), and asymmetrical septal hypertrophy (ASH) HCM (n = 126). RESULTS: Multivariable logistic regression identified four A-ECG measures that together discriminated ApHCM from other diseases with high accuracy (area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC) [bootstrapped 95% confidence interval] 0.982 [0.965-0.993]. Linear discriminant analysis also diagnosed ApHCM with high accuracy (AUC 0.989 [0.986-0.991]). CONCLUSION: Explainable A-ECG has excellent diagnostic accuracy for ApHCM, even when the hypertrophy is relative, with A-ECG analysis providing incremental diagnostic value over imaging alone. The electrical (ECG) and anatomical (wall thickness) disease features do not completely align, suggesting future diagnostic and management strategies may incorporate both features.

Global longitudinal strain and plasma biomarkers for prognosis in heart failure complicated by diabetes: a prospective observational study.

BACKGROUND: Heart failure (HF) and diabetes are associated with increased incidence and worse prognosis of each other. The prognostic value of global longitudinal strain (GLS) measured by cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR) has not been established in HF patients with diabetes. METHODS: In this prospective, observational study, consecutive patients (n = 315) with HF underwent CMR at 3T, including GLS, late gadolinium enhancement (LGE), native T1, and extracellular volume fraction (ECV) mapping. Plasma biomarker concentrations were measured including: N-terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide(NT-proBNP), high-sensitivity troponin T(hs-TnT), growth differentiation factor 15(GDF-15), soluble ST2(sST2), and galectin 3(Gal-3). The primary outcome was a composite of all-cause mortality or HF hospitalisation. RESULTS: Compared to those without diabetes (n = 156), the diabetes group (n = 159) had a higher LGE prevalence (76 vs. 60%, p < 0.05), higher T1 (1285±42 vs. 1269±42ms, p < 0.001), and higher ECV (30.5±3.5 vs. 28.8±4.1%, p < 0.001). The diabetes group had higher NT-pro-BNP, hs-TnT, GDF-15, sST2, and Gal-3. Diabetes conferred worse prognosis (hazard ratio (HR) 2.33 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.43-3.79], p < 0.001). In multivariable Cox regression analysis including clinical markers and plasma biomarkers, sST2 alone remained independently associated with the primary outcome (HR per 1 ng/mL 1.04 [95% CI 1.02-1.07], p = 0.001). In multivariable Cox regression models in the diabetes group, both GLS and sST2 remained prognostic (GLS: HR 1.12 [95% CI 1.03-1.21], p = 0.01; sST2: HR per 1 ng/mL 1.03 [95% CI 1.00-1.06], p = 0.02). CONCLUSIONS: Compared to HF patients without diabetes, those with diabetes have worse plasma and CMR markers of fibrosis and a more adverse prognosis. GLS by CMR is a powerful and independent prognostic marker in HF patients with diabetes.

ISE/ISHNE expert consensus statement on the ECG diagnosis of left ventricular hypertrophy: The change of the paradigm.

The ECG diagnosis of LVH is predominantly based on the QRS voltage criteria. The classical paradigm postulates that the increased left ventricular mass generates a stronger electrical field, increasing the leftward and posterior QRS forces, reflected in the augmented QRS amplitude. However, the low sensitivity of voltage criteria has been repeatedly documented. We discuss possible reasons for this shortcoming and proposal of a new paradigm. The theoretical background for voltage measured at the body surface is defined by the solid angle theorem, which relates the measured voltage to spatial and non-spatial determinants. The spatial determinants are represented by the extent of the activation front and the distance of the recording electrodes. The non-spatial determinants comprise electrical characteristics of the myocardium, which are comparatively neglected in the interpretation of the QRS patterns. Various clinical conditions are associated with LVH. These conditions produce considerable diversity of electrical properties alterations thereby modifying the resultant QRS patterns. The spectrum of QRS patterns observed in LVH patients is quite broad, including also left axis deviation, left anterior fascicular block, incomplete and complete left bundle branch blocks, Q waves, and fragmented QRS. Importantly, the QRS complex can be within normal limits. The new paradigm stresses the electrophysiological background in interpreting QRS changes, i.e., the effect of the non-spatial determinants. This postulates that the role of ECG is not to estimate LV size in LVH, but to understand and decode the underlying electrical processes, which are crucial in relation to cardiovascular risk assessment.

Prognostic utility and characterization of left ventricular hypertrophy using global thickness.

Cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR) can accurately measure left ventricular (LV) mass, and several measures related to LV wall thickness exist. We hypothesized that prognosis can be used to select an optimal measure of wall thickness for characterizing LV hypertrophy. Subjects having undergone CMR were studied (cardiac patients, n = 2543; healthy volunteers, n = 100). A new measure, global wall thickness (GT, GTI if indexed to body surface area) was accurately calculated from LV mass and end-diastolic volume. Among patients with follow-up (n = 1575, median follow-up 5.4 years), the most predictive measure of death or hospitalization for heart failure was LV mass index (LVMI) (hazard ratio (HR)[95% confidence interval] 1.16[1.12-1.20], p < 0.001), followed by GTI (HR 1.14[1.09-1.19], p < 0.001). Among patients with normal findings (n = 326, median follow-up 5.8 years), the most predictive measure was GT (HR 1.62[1.35-1.94], p < 0.001). GT and LVMI could characterize patients as having a normal LV mass and wall thickness, concentric remodeling, concentric hypertrophy, or eccentric hypertrophy, and the three abnormal groups had worse prognosis than the normal group (p < 0.05 for all). LV mass is highly prognostic when mass is elevated, but GT is easily and accurately calculated, and adds value and discrimination amongst those with normal LV mass (early disease).

Echocardiographic estimation of pulmonary artery wedge pressure - invasive derivation, validation, and prognostic association beyond diastolic dysfunction grading.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Grading of diastolic function can be useful, but indeterminate classifications are common. OBJECTIVES: We aimed to invasively derive and validate a quantitative echocardiographic estimation of pulmonary artery wedge pressure (PAWP), and to compare its prognostic performance to diastolic dysfunction grading. METHODS: Echocardiographic measures were used to derive an estimated PAWP (ePAWP) using multivariable linear regression in patients undergoing right heart catheterization (RHC). Prognostic associations were analyzed in the National Echocardiography Database of Australia (NEDA). RESULTS: In patients who had undergone both RHC and echocardiography within two hours (n=90), ePAWP was derived using left atrial volume index, mitral peak early velocity (E), and pulmonary vein systolic velocity (S). In a separate external validation cohort (n=53, simultaneous echocardiography and RHC), ePAWP showed good agreement with invasive PAWP (mean±SD difference 0.5±5.0 mmHg) and good diagnostic accuracy for estimating PAWP>15mmHg (area under the curve [95% confidence interval] 0.94 [0.88-1.00]). Among patients in NEDA (n=38,856, median [interquartile range] follow-up 4.8 [2.3-8.0] years, 2,756 cardiovascular deaths), ePAWP was associated with cardiovascular death even after adjustment for age, sex, and diastolic dysfunction grading (hazard ratio (HR) 1.08 [1.07-1.09] per mmHg) and provided incremental prognostic information to diastolic dysfunction grading (improved C-statistic from 0.65 to 0.68, p<0.001). Increased ePAWP was associated with worse prognosis across all grades of diastolic function (HR normal: 1.07 [1.06-1.09]; indeterminate: 1.08 [1.07-1.09]; abnormal: 1.08 [1.07-1.09], p<0.001 for all). CONCLUSIONS: Echocardiographic ePAWP is an easily acquired continuous variable with good accuracy that associates with prognosis beyond diastolic dysfunction grading.

Prognostic association supports indexing size measures in echocardiography by body surface area.

Body surface area (BSA) is the most commonly used metric for body size indexation of echocardiographic measures, but its use in patients who are underweight or obese is questioned (body mass index (BMI) < 18.5 kg/m2 or ≥ 30 kg/m2, respectively). We aim to use survival analysis to identify an optimal body size indexation metric for echocardiographic measures that would be a better predictor of survival than BSA regardless of BMI. Adult patients with no prior valve replacement were selected from the National Echocardiography Database Australia. Survival analysis was performed for echocardiographic measures both unindexed and indexed to different body size metrics, with 5-year cardiovascular mortality as the primary endpoint. Indexation of echocardiographic measures (left ventricular end-diastolic diameter [n = 230,109] and mass [n = 224,244], left atrial volume [n = 150,540], aortic sinus diameter [n = 90,805], right atrial area [n = 59,516]) by BSA had better prognostic performance vs unindexed measures (underweight: C-statistic 0.655 vs 0.647; normal weight/overweight: average C-statistic 0.666 vs 0.625; obese: C-statistic 0.627 vs 0.613). Indexation by other body size metrics (lean body mass, height, and/or weight raised to different powers) did not improve prognostic performance versus BSA by a clinically relevant magnitude (average C-statistic increase ≤ 0.02), with smaller differences in other BMI subgroups. Indexing measures of cardiac and aortic size by BSA improves prognostic performance regardless of BMI, and no other body size metric has a clinically meaningful better performance.

Accelerated DNA methylation age plays a role in the impact of cardiovascular risk factors on the human heart.

BACKGROUND: DNA methylation (DNAm) age acceleration (AgeAccel) and cardiac age by 12-lead advanced electrocardiography (A-ECG) are promising biomarkers of biological and cardiac aging, respectively. We aimed to explore the relationships between DNAm age and A-ECG heart age and to understand the extent to which DNAm AgeAccel relates to cardiovascular (CV) risk factors in a British birth cohort from 1946. RESULTS: We studied four DNAm ages (AgeHannum, AgeHorvath, PhenoAge, and GrimAge) and their corresponding AgeAccel. Outcomes were the results from two publicly available ECG-based cardiac age scores: the Bayesian A-ECG-based heart age score of Lindow et al. 2022 and the deep neural network (DNN) ECG-based heart age score of Ribeiro et al. 2020. DNAm AgeAccel was also studied relative to results from two logistic regression-based A-ECG disease scores, one for left ventricular (LV) systolic dysfunction (LVSD), and one for LV electrical remodeling (LVER). Generalized linear models were used to explore the extent to which any associations between biological cardiometabolic risk factors (body mass index, hypertension, diabetes, high cholesterol, previous cardiovascular disease [CVD], and any CV risk factor) and the ECG-based outcomes are mediated by DNAm AgeAccel. We derived the total effects, average causal mediation effects (ACMEs), average direct effects (ADEs), and the proportion mediated [PM] with their 95% confidence intervals [CIs]. 498 participants (all 60-64 years) were included, with the youngest ECG heart age being 27 and the oldest 90. When exploring the associations between cardiometabolic risk factors and Bayesian A-ECG cardiac age, AgeAccelPheno appears to be a partial mediator, as ACME was 0.23 years [0.01, 0.52] p = 0.028 (i.e., PM≈18%) for diabetes, 0.34 [0.03, 0.74] p = 0.024 (i.e., PM≈15%) for high cholesterol, and 0.34 [0.03, 0.74] p = 0.024 (PM≈15%) for any CV risk factor. Similarly, AgeAccelGrim mediates ≈30% of the relationship between diabetes or high cholesterol and the DNN ECG-based heart age. When exploring the link between cardiometabolic risk factors and the A-ECG-based LVSD and LVER scores, it appears that AgeAccelPheno or AgeAccelGrim mediate 10-40% of these associations. CONCLUSION: By the age of 60, participants with accelerated DNA methylation appear to have older, weaker, and more electrically impaired hearts. We show that the harmful effects of CV risk factors on cardiac age and health, appear to be partially mediated by DNAm AgeAccelPheno and AgeAccelGrim. This highlights the need to further investigate the potential cardioprotective effects of selective DNA methyltransferases modulators.

Heart age gap estimated by explainable advanced electrocardiography is associated with cardiovascular risk factors and survival.

Aims: Deep neural network artificial intelligence (DNN-AI)-based Heart Age estimations have been presented and used to show that the difference between an electrocardiogram (ECG)-estimated Heart Age and chronological age is associated with prognosis. An accurate ECG Heart Age, without DNNs, has been developed using explainable advanced ECG (A-ECG) methods. We aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of the explainable A-ECG Heart Age and compare its performance to a DNN-AI Heart Age. Methods and results: Both A-ECG and DNN-AI Heart Age were applied to patients who had undergone clinical cardiovascular magnetic resonance imaging. The association between A-ECG or DNN-AI Heart Age Gap and cardiovascular risk factors was evaluated using logistic regression. The association between Heart Age Gaps and death or heart failure (HF) hospitalization was evaluated using Cox regression adjusted for clinical covariates/comorbidities. Among patients [n = 731, 103 (14.1%) deaths, 52 (7.1%) HF hospitalizations, median (interquartile range) follow-up 5.7 (4.7-6.7) years], A-ECG Heart Age Gap was associated with risk factors and outcomes [unadjusted hazard ratio (HR) (95% confidence interval) (5 year increments): 1.23 (1.13-1.34) and adjusted HR 1.11 (1.01-1.22)]. DNN-AI Heart Age Gap was associated with risk factors and outcomes after adjustments [HR (5 year increments): 1.11 (1.01-1.21)], but not in unadjusted analyses [HR 1.00 (0.93-1.08)], making it less easily applicable in clinical practice. Conclusion: A-ECG Heart Age Gap is associated with cardiovascular risk factors and HF hospitalization or death. Explainable A-ECG Heart Age Gap has the potential for improving clinical adoption and prognostic performance compared with existing DNN-AI-type methods.

Decreased diastolic hydraulic forces incrementally associate with survival beyond conventional measures of diastolic dysfunction.

Decreased hydraulic forces during diastole contribute to reduced left ventricular (LV) filling and heart failure with preserved ejection fraction. However, their association with diastolic function and patient outcomes are unknown. The aim of this retrospective, cross-sectional study was to determine the mechanistic association between diastolic hydraulic forces, estimated by echocardiography as the atrioventricular area difference (AVAD), and both diastolic function and survival. Patients (n = 5176, median [interquartile range] 5.5 [5.0-6.1] years follow-up, 1213 events) were selected from the National Echo Database Australia (NEDA) based on the presence of relevant transthoracic echocardiographic measures, LV ejection fraction (LVEF) ≥ 50%, heart rate 50-100 beats/minute, the absence of moderate or severe valvular disease, and no prior prosthetic valve surgery. NEDA contains echocardiographic and linked national death index mortality outcome data from 1985 to 2019. AVAD was calculated as the cross-sectional area difference between the LV and left atrium. LV diastolic dysfunction was graded according to 2016 guidelines. AVAD was weakly associated with E/e', left atrial volume index, and LVEF (multivariable global R2 = 0.15, p < 0.001), and not associated with e' and peak tricuspid regurgitation velocity. Decreased AVAD was independently associated with poorer survival, and demonstrated improved model discrimination after adjustment for diastolic function grading (C-statistic [95% confidence interval] 0.644 [0.629-0.660] vs 0.606 [0.592-0.621], p < 0.001) and E/e' (0.649 [0.635-0.664] vs 0.634 [0.618-0.649], p < 0.001), respectively. Therefore, decreased hydraulic forces, estimated by AVAD, are weakly associated with diastolic dysfunction and demonstrate an incremental prognostic association with survival beyond conventional measures used to grade diastolic dysfunction.

Noninvasive Imaging Methods for Quantification of Pulmonary Edema and Congestion: A Systematic Review.

Quantification of pulmonary edema and congestion is important to guide diagnosis and risk stratification, and to objectively evaluate new therapies in heart failure. Herein, we review the validation, diagnostic performance, and clinical utility of noninvasive imaging modalities in this setting, including chest x-ray, lung ultrasound (LUS), computed tomography (CT), nuclear medicine imaging methods (positron emission tomography [PET], single photon emission CT), and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). LUS is a clinically useful bedside modality, and fully quantitative methods (CT, MRI, PET) are likely to be important contributors to a more accurate and precise evaluation of new heart failure therapies and for clinical use in conjunction with cardiac imaging. There are only a limited number of studies evaluating pulmonary congestion during stress. Taken together, noninvasive imaging of pulmonary congestion provides utility for both clinical and research assessment, and continued refinement of methodologic accuracy, validation, and workflow has the potential to increase broader clinical adoption.

ISE/ISHNE Expert Consensus Statement on ECG Diagnosis of Left Ventricular Hypertrophy: The Change of the Paradigm. The joint paper of the International Society of Electrocardiology and the International Society for Holter Monitoring and Noninvasive Electrocardiology.

The ECG diagnosis of LVH is predominantly based on the QRS voltage criteria, i.e. the increased QRS complex amplitude in defined leads. The classical ECG diagnostic paradigm postulates that the increased left ventricular mass generates a stronger electrical field, increasing the leftward and posterior QRS forces. These increased forces are reflected in the augmented QRS amplitude in the corresponding leads. However, the clinical observations document increased QRS amplitude only in the minority of patients with LVH. The low sensitivity of voltage criteria has been repeatedly documented. We discuss possible reasons for this shortcoming and proposal of a new paradigm.

Immediate recruitment of dormant coronary collaterals can provide more than half of normal resting perfusion during coronary occlusion in patients with coronary artery disease.

BACKGROUND: Dormant coronary collaterals are highly prevalent and clinically beneficial in cases of coronary occlusion. However, the magnitude of myocardial perfusion provided by immediate coronary collateral recruitment during acute occlusion is unknown. We aimed to quantify collateral myocardial perfusion during balloon occlusion in patients with coronary artery disease (CAD). METHODS: Patients without angiographically visible collaterals undergoing elective percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty (PTCA) to a single epicardial vessel underwent two scans with 99mTc-sestamibi myocardial perfusion single-photon emission computed tomography (SPECT). All subjects underwent at least three minutes of angiographically verified complete balloon occlusion, at which time an intravenous injection of the radiotracer was administered, followed by SPECT imaging. A second radiotracer injection followed by SPECT imaging was performed 24 h after PTCA. RESULTS: The study included 22 patients (median [interquartile range] age 68 [54-72] years. The perfusion defect extent was 19 [11-38] % of the LV, and the collateral perfusion at rest was 64 [58-67]% of normal. CONCLUSION: This is the first study to describe the magnitude of short-term changes in coronary microvascular collateral perfusion in patients with CAD. On average, despite coronary occlusion and an absence of angiographically visible collateral vessels, collaterals provided more than half of the normal perfusion.

Three-dimensional sector-wise golden angle-improved k-space uniformity after electrocardiogram binning.

PURPOSE: To develop and evaluate a 3D sector-wise golden-angle (3D-SWIG) profile ordering scheme for cardiovascular MR cine imaging that maintains high k-space uniformity after electrocardiogram (ECG) binning. METHOD: Cardiovascular MR (CMR) was performed at 1.5 T. A balanced SSFP pulse sequence was implemented with a novel 3D-SWIG radial ordering, where k-space was divided into wedges, and each wedge was acquired in a separate heartbeat. The high uniformity of k-space coverage after physiological binning can be used to perform functional imaging using a very short acquisition. The 3D-SWIG was compared with two commonly used 3D radial trajectories for CMR (i.e., double golden angle and spiral phyllotaxis) in numerical simulations. Free-breathing 3D-SWIG and conventional breath-held 2D cine were compared in patients (n = 17) referred clinically for CMR. Quantitative comparison was performed based on left ventricular segmentation. RESULTS: Numerical simulations showed that 3D-SWIG both required smaller steps between successive readouts and achieved better k-space sampling uniformity after binning than either the double golden angle or spiral phyllotaxis trajectories. In vivo evaluation showed that measurements of left ventricular ejection fraction calculated from a 48 heart-beat free-breathing 3D-SWIG acquisition were highly reproducible and agreed with breath-held 2D-Cartesian cine (mean ± SD difference of -3.1 ± 3.5% points). CONCLUSIONS: The 3D-SWIG acquisition offers a simple solution for highly improved k-space uniformity after physiological binning. The feasibility of the 3D-SWIG method is demonstrated in this study through whole-heart cine imaging during free breathing with an acquisition time of less than 1 min.

Prognostic value of peak work rate indexed by left ventricular diameter.

Left ventricular diameter (LVEDD) increases with systematic endurance training but also in various cardiac diseases. High exercise capacity associates with favorable outcomes. We hypothesized that peak work rate (Wpeak) indexed to LVEDD would carry prognostic information and aimed to evaluate the association between Wpeak/LVEDDrest and cardiovascular mortality. Wpeak/LVEDDrest (W/mm) was calculated in patients with an echocardiographic examination within 3 months of a maximal cycle ergometer exercise test. Low Wpeak/LVEDDrest was defined as a value below the sex- and age-specific 5th percentile among lower-risk subjects. The association with cardiovascular mortality was evaluated using Cox regression. In total, 3083 patients were included (8.0 [5.4-11.1] years of follow-up, 249 (8%) cardiovascular deaths). Wpeak/LVEDDrest (W/mm) was associated with cardiovascular mortality (adjusted hazard ratio (HR) 0.28 [0.22-0.36]), similar to Wpeak in % of predicted, with identical prognostic strength when adjusted for age and sex (C-statistics 0.87 for both). A combination of low Wpeak/LVEDDrest and low Wpeak was associated with a particularly poor prognosis (adjusted HR 6.4 [4.0-10.3]). Wpeak/LVEDDrest was associated with cardiovascular mortality but did not provide incremental prognostic value to Wpeak alone. The combination of a low Wpeak/LVEDDrest and low Wpeak was associated with a particularly poor prognosis.

Increased cardiac involvement in Fabry disease using blood-corrected native T1 mapping.

Fabry disease (FD) is a rare lysosomal storage disorder resulting in myocardial sphingolipid accumulation which is detectable by cardiovascular magnetic resonance as low native T1. However, myocardial T1 contains signal from intramyocardial blood which affects variability and consequently measurement precision and accuracy. Correction of myocardial T1 by blood T1 increases precision. We therefore deployed a multicenter study of FD patients (n = 218) and healthy controls (n = 117) to investigate if blood-correction of myocardial native T1 increases the number of FD patients with low T1, and thus reclassifies FD patients as having cardiac involvement. Cardiac involvement was defined as a native T1 value 2 standard deviations below site-specific means in healthy controls for both corrected and uncorrected measures. Overall low T1 was 135/218 (62%) uncorrected vs. 145/218 (67%) corrected (p = 0.02). With blood-correction, 13/83 previously normal patients were reclassified to low T1. This reclassification appears clinically relevant as 6/13 (46%) of reclassified had focal late gadolinium enhancement or left ventricular hypertrophy as signs of cardiac involvement. Blood-correction of myocardial native T1 increases the proportion of FD subjects with low myocardial T1, with blood-corrected results tracking other markers of cardiac involvement. Blood-correction may potentially offer earlier detection and therapy initiation, but merits further prospective studies.

Diffuse myocardial fibrosis associates with incident ventricular arrhythmia in implantable cardioverter defibrillator recipients.

Background: Diffuse myocardial fibrosis (DMF) quantified by extracellular volume (ECV) may represent a vulnerable phenotype and associate with life threatening ventricular arrhythmias more than focal myocardial fibrosis. This principle remains important because 1) risk stratification for implantable cardioverter defibrillators (ICD) remains challenging, and 2) DMF may respond to current or emerging medical therapies (reversible substrate). Objectives: To evaluate the association between quantified by ECV in myocardium without focal fibrosis by late gadolinium enhancement (LGE) with time from ICD implantation to 1) appropriate shock, or 2) shock or anti-tachycardia pacing. Methods: Among patients referred for cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR) without congenital disease, hypertrophic cardiomyopathy, or amyloidosis who received ICDs (n=215), we used Cox regression to associate ECV with incident ICD therapy. Results: After a median of 2.9 (IQR 1.5-4.2) years, 25 surviving patients experienced ICD shock and 44 experienced shock or anti-tachycardia pacing. ECV ranged from 20.2% to 39.4%. No patient with ECV<25% experienced an ICD shock. ECV associated with both endpoints, e.g., hazard ratio 2.17 (95%CI 1.17-4.00) for every 5% increase in ECV, p=0.014 in a stepwise model for ICD shock adjusting for ICD indication, age, smoking, atrial fibrillation, and myocardial infarction, whereas focal fibrosis by LGE and global longitudinal strain (GLS) did not. Conclusions: DMF measured by ECV associates with ventricular arrhythmias requiring ICD therapy in a dose-response fashion, even adjusting for potential confounding variables, focal fibrosis by LGE, and GLS. ECV-based risk stratification and DMF representing a therapeutic target to prevent ventricular arrhythmia warrant further investigation.